@Article{SilvaDereChouCava:2014:FuChTe,
               author = "Silva, Wanderson Luiz and Dereczynski, Claudine and Chou, Sin Chan 
                         and Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque",
          affiliation = "{} and {} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} 
                         and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Future Changes in Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in the 
                         State of Rio de Janeiro (Brazil)",
              journal = "American Journal of Climate Change",
                 year = "2014",
               volume = "3",
                pages = "353--365",
             keywords = "climate change, climatic extremes, future projections, 
                         temperature, precipitation, Rio de Janeiro.",
             abstract = "In this study, we document the air temperature and precipitation 
                         changes between present-day conditions and those projected for the 
                         period 2041-2070 in the state of Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) by means 
                         of Eta driven by HadCM3 climate model output, considering the 
                         variation among its four ensemble members. The main purpose is to 
                         support studies of vulnerability and adaptation policy to climate 
                         change. In relation to future projections of temperature extremes, 
                         the model indicates an increase in average minimum (maximum) 
                         temperature of between +1.1\˚C and +1.4\˚C 
                         (+1.0\˚C and +1.5\˚C) in the state by 2070, and it 
                         could reach maximum values of between +2.0\˚C and 
                         +3.5\˚C (+2.5\˚C and +4.5\˚C). The model 
                         projections also indicate that cold nights and days will be much 
                         less frequent in Rio de Janeiro by 2070, while there will be 
                         significant increases in warm nights and days. With respect to 
                         annual total rainfall, the Northern Region of Rio de Janeiro 
                         displays the greatest variation among members, indicating changes 
                         ranging from a decrease of \−350 mm to an increase of +300 
                         mm during the 21st century. The southern portion of the state has 
                         the largest increase in annual total rainfall occurring due to 
                         heavy rains, ranging from +50 to +300 mm in the period 2041-2070. 
                         Consecutive dry days will increase, which indicates poorly time 
                         distributed rainfall, with increased rainfall concentrated over 
                         shorter time periods.",
                  doi = "10.4236/ajcc.2014.34031",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2014.34031",
                 issn = "2167-9495 and 2167-9509",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "Chou_Future.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}